XRP price breaks out of range with a 25% rally, but why?

Crypto markets flash some green on September 22 as Bitcoin (BTC) price surged 4.7% to trade above $19,300 and Ether (ETH) surged 6.5% to recover the $1,300 level.

RSR and Astar Network (ASTAR) were also up 23% and 17% respectively, but the most notable mover of the day was XRP.

Currently, the price of XRP reflects a gain of close to 25% and the asset is up 41% in the past month. According to defense attorney James K. Filan, on Sept. 18 Ripple Labs filed a motion for summary judgment, a legal process that involves the court making a final decision based on the facts provided, rather than ordering a trial , and a decision on whether XRP is a security is expected in mid-December.

The excitement over the news could improve investor sentiment about XRP’s long-term prospects.

Related: Crypto, Stocks Soften Ahead of Fed Rate Hike, But XRP, ALGO, and LDO Look ‘Interesting’

From a technical analysis perspective, XRP price is looking to secure a second daily close above a long-term downtrend line resistance and trading volumes and open interest in futures contracts have increased sharply in the last 24 hours.

XRP/USDT 1 day chart. Source: TradingView

According to Cointelegraph market analyst Marcel Pechman:

“XRP open interest is now $575M vs $310M just a week ago.”

Traders not yet positioned might consider waiting to see if the 200-day moving average at $0.49 reverses to support during the next daily close. Intraday and swing traders typically take profits at long-term resistance levels and also anticipate price rejections and lower support retracements after an asset manages a breakout of a long consolidation period, price bottoms, or a move that alter the structure of the market.

Crypto analytics data provider TheKingfisher pushed a similar point by suggesting that buyers would “probably have an opportunity to push XRP lower in the long term.”